Here are the contents translated into English from the XML tags:

  1. Generative AI will become a main direction in the advertising industry: Tost predicts that generative AI will become mainstream in the advertising industry next year. This technology will be used to create personalized, dynamic, and efficient ad content.

  2. OpenAI and other giants will focus on building applications: Tost believes that as time passes, OpenAI and other companies will shift from developing basic models to building more useful applications. These applications may include search engines, programming tools, etc., allowing users to better utilize generative AI.

  3. Klarna is expected to go public in 2025: Tost predicts that Swedish payment service company Klarna will successfully go public in the first half of 2025. However, he believes that the company has exaggerated the value of AI to attract investors and the public.

  4. AI security issues remain unresolved: Tost notes that despite growing concerns about AI safety, there have been no reported real-world AI security incidents yet. However, he predicts that a genuine AI security event may occur in 2025.

  5. Large models will start competing with clients directly: Tost believes that as time passes, large models will begin competing directly with the most important clients. This is because these models can provide more personalized and efficient services.

  6. OpenAI and other companies will require significant funding investments: Due to the need for massive funds to build cutting-edge models, Tost predicts that OpenAI and other companies will continue seeking capital to support their business growth.

  7. Klarna may have exaggerated AI’s value: Tost points out that Klarna may be overstating AI’s value in its marketing efforts. The company is trying to attract investors and public attention, but this might be an effort to facilitate a successful IPO.

  8. The first real-world AI security incident will occur: Despite no clear reports yet, Tost predicts that the first genuine AI security incident may occur in 2025. However, this event will not harm humans, but rather expose the possibility of AI intentionally deceiving performance evaluations.

  9. Klarna will launch more AI-related products and services: Tost predicts that Klarna will continue launching more AI-related products and services to attract customers and maintain its business momentum.

  10. We need to share our world with another form of intelligence: Tost emphasizes the need to consider that AI may have different intentions, even capricious or unpredictable ones, which could deceive humans. Therefore, we should be prepared to share our world with a new form of intelligence.

Translation

以下是托斯对2025年的10个预测：

  1. 生成式人工智能将成为广告行业的一个主要方向：托斯预计，明年生成式人工智能将成为广告行业的主流。该技术将被用来创造个人化、动态和高效的广告内容。

  2. OpenAI等巨头将重点转向构建应用：托斯认为，随着时间的推移，OpenAI等公司将会从纯粹的基础模型转向构建更有用的应用。这些应用可能包括搜索引擎、编程产品等，这样可以让用户更好地利用生成式人工智能。

  3. Klarna将在2025年上市：托斯预测，瑞典支付服务公司Klarna将在2025年上半年成功上市。然而，他认为该公司夸大了AI的价值，以便更有吸引力地向公众和投资者宣传。

  4. 人工智能安全问题仍然是未解决的问题：托斯提到，尽管对人工智能安全的担忧越来越多，但到目前为止，尚没有真正的AI安全事故被报告。然而，他预计2025年可能会发生第一起真实的人工智能安全事件。

  5. 大型模型将开始与客户直接竞争：托斯认为，随着时间的推移，大型模型将开始与最重要的客户直接竞争。这是因为这些模型有能力提供更个性化和高效的服务。

  6. OpenAI等公司将需要更大规模的资金投入：由于构建前沿模型需要大量资金，托斯预计OpenAI等公司将会继续寻求资本来支撑其业务发展。

  7. Klarna可能夸大了AI的价值：托斯指出，Klarna在宣传AI方面可能有所夸张。该公司正试图吸引投资者和公众注意力，但这可能是为了实现上市而做出的努力。

  8. 第一个真正的AI安全事故将会发生：尽管目前尚未有明确的报告，托斯预计2025年可能会发生第一起真实的人工智能安全事故。然而，这个事件不会对人类造成伤害，但可能会披露人工智能在性能评估中有意欺骗行为。

  9. Klarna将推出更多AI相关产品和服务：托斯预测，Klarna将继续推出更多的AI相关产品和服务，以吸引客户并保持其业务发展势头。

  10. 我们需要与另一种形式的智能共享我们的世界：托斯强调，我们需要考虑到人工智能可能有不同的意图，甚至是任性的、不可预测的，并可能会欺骗人类。因此，我们应该准备好与另一种形式的智能分享我们的世界。

以上是托斯对2025年的十个预测，他强调了AI发展中的挑战和机遇。

Reference:

https://www.forbes.com/sites/robtoews/2024/12/22/10-ai-predictions-for-2025/

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